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Phil De Carolis
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Let Me Help You Protect And Grow Your Wealth NOW Before It Is Too Late. Contact Me Right Away For A Referral To My Own Personal Broker With Euro Pacific Capital That Can Advise You On The Purchase Of Precious Metals (Gold, Silver, Copper, etc..), Soft Commodities (Coffee, Cotton, Sugar, etc...) And/Or Foreign Dividend Paying Stocks To Hedge Against Rising Prices And Your Loss Of Hard Earned Wealth. Join Me In Preserving Your Savings So That We Can Utilize Our Retained Purchasing Power To Purchase Discounted/Cash Flowing California Real Estate Assets At The Bottom Of This Downturn For Pennies On The Dollar That Will Rise In Value Dramatically During Californias' Next Cyclical Inflationary Real Estate Bull Market.
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Phil De Carolis' Weekly Update: June 21, 2008
Need To Sell NOW? Need To Buy? Are You Looking For Cash Flowing Investment Properties Or Do You Just Need Information Visit www.PhilDeCarolis.com
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Peter Schiff On Cashin' In June 14, 2008 (4:00 min)
MidWest Disaster Lesson: We Need A Disaster Relief Fund!
(Click On The Image Above To Watch This Peter Schiff Interview)
"I don't think the government should be involved in financial relief at all. I think, unfortunately, that the people who suffer from this need to be able to fund the repairs out of savings, using private insurance or if they don't have access to that they can tap private charities. There is a huge moral hazard here, when the government comes in and subsidizes people who suffer these disasters, they are prone to move into these areas that have these natural disasters and we end up having much bigger problems. People need to suffer the consequences and if they can't afford it they need to live in areas where you don't have these disasters. You can't tax people in other places." -Peter Schiff
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Peter Schiffs' Economic Commentary
"The Fed Unreserved"
Friday June 20, 2008
By Economist Peter Schiff

Throughout history, governments have always used crises to justify blatant power grabs. Often the crisis subsides, but the expanded government powers remain. In America this week, the tendency came into sharp focus. Congress signaled that it is preparing to perpetuate the Bush Administration's domestic wiretapping program, and has even abandoned the pretense that warrantless surveillance be confined to terrorism. Similarly, even though our financial crisis has yet to reach full flower, Treasury Secretary Paulson announced plans to give the Federal Reserve new and explicit powers to oversee and regulate the financial services industry. However, a sober look at his plan reveals that it is tantamount to giving the fox complete autonomy to guard the henhouse.
What few economic leaders have acknowledged is that the Federal Reserve itself is responsible for the real estate and credit bubbles, which are the source of our current troubles. By keeping interest rates too low for too long, the Fed ignited a speculative fever and engendered a disregard for risk management that pushed asset prices above rational levels. Should we blame the private sector for taking advantage of all the cheap credit, or the Federal Reserve for supplying it? If a kindergarten teacher passes out handfuls of Pixie Sticks, and then leaves her classroom unattended for several hours, should we blame the five year olds for the hysteria that ensues?
The reality is that we should be restricting, rather than expanding, the powers given to the Federal Reserve. Since Greenspan, Bernanke and company have already inflicted so much damage with the weapons already in their arsenal, why provide them with heavier artillery? Only in Washington do those who screw up get rewarded for doing so.
Since the Fed has demonstrated complete incompetence at setting interest rates, why not return that function to the market? Instead of allowing the Fed to inflict unbridled havoc on our economy, why not re-impose some discipline? Instead of looking for new ways to regulate Wall Street, why not find an old way to regulate the Fed? Actually there is a simple answer to all of these questions; it's called the gold standard.
In his speech outlining these proposals, Paulson stated that during the past fifty years the performance of the U.S. economy has been second to none. I do not know what planet Paulson has been living on these past fifty years, but it is certainly not Earth. If Paulson were referring to the prior fifty year period, from 1908-1958, his statement would have been correct. But from 1958 to 2008, the U.S. economy has blown a lead even greater than the one the Lakers enjoyed over the Celtics in game four of the just concluded NBA Finals. In fact, it may well qualify as the biggest economic choke in history.
In 1958 the U.S. enjoyed a standard of living so unmatched that the rest of the world still lived in the Stone Age by comparison. Our per capita income was so far ahead of our nearest rival that it seemed impossible that any other nation would ever catch up. Today not only is per capita income in the U.S. barely in the top ten, but we are being rapidly overtaken by countries that up until a few years ago were barely discernable in our rear-view mirrors. When it comes to economic performance during the past 150 years, the U.S. is the Big Brown of economies. 1858-1908 was the Kentucky Derby, 1908-1958 was the Preakness, and 1958-2008 was the Belmont Stakes.
Not only did the U.S. surrender a substantial lead, but in many respects our current standard of living is lower than the one our grandparents enjoyed. Sure we have a few more gadgets, larger televisions and more prevalent air conditioning, but the quality of life has actually declined. In the 1950's, the average man earned enough money to fully support a wife and four kids, all while saving for retirement and paying off his mortgage. Today the average man can barely support himself. It takes two bread winners in most families to make ends meet, and that is assuming only two children. Even with both parents working, the typical mortgage on the family home will never be paid off and retirement is now a pipe dream. Flush with high pay, low debt, and a strong currency, the Ugly American in the 1950's could vacation in Europe like a king. Now we can now barely afford the gas for a day trip to a Six Flags theme park.
If Paulson can be so completely clueless regarding the Fed's role in the current debacle and in America's economic stumbles over the past two generations, why would anyone place any faith in his proposed remedies? In fact, an unaccountable and unelected Federal Reserve, which nonetheless has lately proven to be as politically craven as any two-bit politician, does not hold the keys to our economic revival. However, with its increased willingness to rescue the big financial firms from their own excesses, perhaps Paulson sees an expanded Fed as the best way to ensure the continued prosperity of his former pals on Wall Street.
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Click The Icon To Listen To The June 18, 2008 Installment Of Wall Street Unspun With Host Peter Schiff
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The Norris Group Real Estate Radio Show
June 21, 2008: " I Survived Real Estate 2008"
Bruce Norris launches this week a very special event for a very special cause. On August 23rd, 2008, The Norris Group along with support from generous partners and panelists will host an event entitled, "I Survived Real Estate 2008."
Proceeds from the event will benefit the Orange County Affiliate of the Susan G. Komen for the Cure. The event seeks to bring together the real estate community including Realtors, auctioneers, investors, mortgage professionals, economists, service providers, and builders to discuss how we got here, how the respective industries are changing, and how we move forward and prosper together in 2008 and 2009. This is about solutions and synergy, not bad news.
The TNG radio interviews for the next several weeks leading to the event will seek to introduce the audience to the panelists that are participating in the live event. Many have been guests on the radio show before and we appreciate their willingness to help us with such a worthy cause.
The week, Bruce Norris is joined by wife of 38 years, Marsha Norris. Marsha is a cancer survivor and has been fighting for 13 years. Her cancer battle started with breast cancer and she is now fighting bone cancer. Marsha and Bruce discuss how they found out, the initial reaction to finding out, the journey they've taken trying to find a doctor who would listen, protocols, the important of self education when it comes to illness, surrounding yourself with people who believe you'll survive, how the real estate community has been a HUGE support system, spirituality and getting through the tough times, believing in a cure, pursing health versus buying time, the Susan G. Komen website and the resources that help, treatments she's tried along the way, and how believing in your treatment is important.
Marsha Norris has four children, seven grandchildren, and has been married to Bruce Norris for 38 years. Marsha is a trained massage therapist and loves reading on holistic medicine, different massage techiniques, and numerous other topics. She enjoys traveling and looks forward to seeing Egypt for the first time this coming Fall.
Official site launch of www.ISurvived2008.com and tickets for the live event will launch early July. Thank you for your patience and we'll keep you posted on the radio show and TNG website. There will be numerous ways for you to get involved so we look forward to sharing them with you soon.
Special thanks to the following partners who are helping make this event possible: the San Diego Creative Investment Association and Bill Tan (sdcia.com), the Investors Workshop in Orange County and Shawn Watkins (investorsworkshops.com), Frye Wiles, the results-oriented web design, internet marketing, branding and creative design firm helping us with the web (fryewiles.com), MVT Productions who always does an amazing job with our audio/visual needs (mvtproductions.tv), Proxibid who has graciously offered to air this event nationwide live via the Internet (Proxibid.com), White House Catering (whcatering.com), and finally, the Nixon Library for allowing us to use their wonderful White House Replica of the East Room to hold the live, black tie event (nixonlibraryfoundation.org).
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Interest Rate Cuts
(Sep 18, 2007)- "A Fed bailout in the form of rate cuts will neither prevent the recession nor keep house prices from collapsing. It may slow the process down a few quarters, but it will cost us dearly" -Peter Schiff
"Bernanke May Regret Interest-Rate Cuts" - Bloomberg
June 18 -- Former U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Nigel Lawson said Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke may be ``regretting'' the fastest pace of U.S. interest-rate cuts since 1984 as global inflation accelerates. The Fed reduced its benchmark rate by 3.25 percentage points to 2 percent between September and April 30 to stave off a recession following the collapse of the U.S. subprime-mortgage market. The Bank of England, also facing a slowdown, cut its key rate by 0.75 percentage point to 5 percent. The European Central Bank left rates unchanged at 4 percent for a year and signaled this month it may raise them in July..................................
Click Here To See The Entire Article
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Recession:
(Sep 19,2007)- "We borrowed trillions of dollars to remodel our kitchens, buy SUVs and plasma TVs, and there are consequences. We are in serious trouble. The piper has to be paid" -Peter Schiff
"More Consumers, Workers Shoplift As Economy Slows" - USA Today
June 19 -- One morning last month, the manager of a Stop & Shop in Methuen, Mass., noticed a man, along with his young daughter, leave the store without paying for several bags of shrimp. When police arrived, they found something else on him, too: 20 cans of baby formula. Call it a sign of the times. Steadily and alarmingly, shoplifting seems to be rising at many retail chains, and experts are pointing at a prime cause: the sputtering economy. "Wages aren't keeping up with inflation, especially the price of food and energy," says Diane Swonk, chief economist at Mesirow Financial. "It just leaves less money for everything else, and that breeds a lot of temptation..................................
Click On This Link To View The Entire Article |
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Dollar
(Sep 18, 2007)- "If the dollar loses value too quickly, it could wreak havoc on the economy and financial markets - driving up interest rates and inflation and slashing Americans' purchasing power" -Peter Schiff
"Weak Dollar Lets Foreign Tourists Spend Big in D.C." - Washington Post
June 19 -- When the Turkish tourists arrived at their chic Foggy Bottom hotel with empty suitcases and a few hours of free time, the first thing they asked was how to get to Pentagon City. Twenty-four hours later, they headed back to the airport, their luggage bulging with bargains. A Scandinavian journalist, on each of his three trips to Washington this year, made a similar beeline for Trader Joe's to stock up on cashews and other treats that are cheaper in the United States...................................
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Inflation
(Sep 19, 2007)- "People keep talking about Fed bailouts as if there is no cost. All the Fed can do is create new dollars. What that does is diminish the value of all the dollars everybody already has. They try to socialize the losses among all the holders of dollars" -Peter Schiff
"Corn Jumps 3 Percent To Fresh Record On Floods" -Rueters
June 16 - Corn futures rose more than 3 percent to a fresh record high in early Asian trade on Monday, bolstered by concerns of reduced output from the world's largest corn exporter following last week's heavy rains. Powerful storms that dumped several inches of rain last week on crop fields across the Midwest, an area where much of the world's food is grown, could mean a couple million acres will go barren this season, at a time when demand for food and fuel is soaring globally. Before crop conditions turned worse the U.S. Department of Agriculture already trimmed 5 bushels per acre from this year's corn production, and the rains are likely to slash production even further, analysts said. July corn futures rose 3.0 percent to $7.53- a bushel, gaining for the eighth consecutive session...........................
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(Aug 16, 2007)- "The housing bubble has burst. Prices are going to collapse and sales are going to fall through the floor." -Peter Schiff
"Home Prices Continue Downward Spiral" - San Diego Union Tribune
June 17 -- Home prices continued to tumble in San Diego County last month, with the median reaching its lowest level - $380,000 - since September 2003. A trio of factors - surging foreclosures, tougher lending standards and a weak economy - further pressured prices and demand for housing, according to La Jolla-based DataQuick Information Systems. May's median price was down nearly 23 percent from a year earlier. It's no secret that the county's housing market has been sliding for a several years. Experts have been combing data trying to predict when it might end, but so far there's little evidence of a rebound..........................
Click On This Link To View The Entire Article
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Gold
(Sep 21, 2007)- "With the Federal Funds Rate cut, the Fed revealed that it has no interest in defending the dollar or containing inflation. This kind of irresponsibility is all gold needs to move higher from its current levels unless the Fed somehow finds its backbone within a year or two, then gold has a good chance to take out its inflation-adjusted high of nearly $2,000 per ounce within this decade." -Peter Schiff
"Gold May Rise To $5,000 On Inflation, Schroder Says" - Bloomberg
June 19 -- Gold prices may rise to $5,000 an ounce as investors seek to protect themselves against accelerating inflation, said Schroder Investment Management Ltd., which oversees $277 billion of assets globally. ``You could easily see for the next several years that prices rise not to $1,000 an ounce, but prices rise to $5,000 an ounce or beyond as inflation psychology becomes more and more embedded and people become desperate to have a source of value,'' said Christopher Wyke, London-based emerging market debt and commodities product manager at Schroder, which oversees about $10 billion of commodity assets. Investors are turning to gold for protection as two-thirds of the world's population cope with inflation rates that are climbing to more than 10 percent, Wyke said. Cash and inflation- linked bonds are poor substitutes as low interest rates, coupled with surging inflation, erode the real value of assets...........................
Click On This Link To View The Entire Article
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Oil
(July 31, 2007)- "It's going to soon hit $90 and go north of $100 next year. We should see $150 to $200 oil in the next two to three years because of the drop in the dollar.'' -Peter Schiff
""Irrational" To Call For More OPEC Oil: President" - Report On Business
June 20 - Demand by consumer countries for OPEC to increase its offer of oil is "illogical and irrational," OPEC President Chakib Khelil told the Algerian official news agency APS. "Asking OPEC member countries to increase their offer is illogical and irrational," Mr. Khelil told APS in an interview published on Friday. His interview came ahead of a meeting of oil producing countries, consumer countries and oil firms in Saudi Arabia on Sunday. "The (Saudi Arabia) meeting would clarify the positions about the reasons behind this oil prices rise," he added. He cited speculation, geopolitical tensions and limited refinery capacities as the "most important reasons" behind the soaring oil prices. Mr. Khelil, who is Algeria's energy and mining minister, suggested there would be no decision by OPEC as a cartel at the meeting in Saudi Arabia. "I'm invited as Algeria's energy and mining minister. So, I have no OPEC mandate for a position by this organization," he said. OPEC members who would take part at the meeting would give their views, said Mr. Khelil. Commenting on media reports that Saudi Arabia had hiked production, Khelil said: "The media had reported a 300,000 barrel per day output increase by Saudi Arabia but its impact on the market is nil, the barrel is always at $136 (U.S.). I do not believe that is the problem..................
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Futures Prices
Todays Prices (June 21, 2008)
*Gold Futures $903.7/Ounce(Up)
Last Weeks Prices (June 14, 2008)
*Dollar Index 74.605/Basket Of Currencies
*Gold Futures $873.1/Ounce
* Crude Oil $134.86/Barrel
Federal Funds Rate 2.00%
Federal Discount Rate 2.25%
30yr Fixed Mortgage 6.29%
Thank you for taking the time to read this e-mail and don't hesitate to contact me at (909) 910-9618 or by e-mail at Info@PhilDeCarolis.com if you have any questions or concerns. Feel free to forward this e-mail to anyone that will find this information useful.
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| Feel free to utilize my website as your online resource since it is a central location to access some of the most important information that you need to know http://www.PhilDeCarolis.com |
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| Prudential California Realty
Phil De Carolis
Realtor/Investor
Cell (909) 910-9618
Fax (909) 752-5353
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